Bucks vs. Pistons prediction: NBA Wednesday picks, odds, bets

The article discusses betting performance against the point spread (ATS) in the NBA, noting that top teams rarely outperform the spread significantly, as the market adjusts for them. For example, the defending champion Thunder have a 20-1 record but are only 10-11 ATS, which is typical.

In contrast, the Detroit Pistons, with the NBA's second-best record at 17-4, have an impressive 13-8 ATS mark, ranking among the best in the league. The Pistons are set to visit the Milwaukee Bucks as a three-point favorite, with a total of 233 points.

The Bucks have a disappointing 9-13 record (and 9-13 ATS) this season, partly due to injuries. Key players like Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr. have recently returned, but rotation optimization may take time, especially with Porter exiting the most recent game due to back spasms. The Bucks have lost eight of their last nine games, raising concerns.

The Pistons recently ended a 13-game win streak with back-to-back losses but responded with consecutive narrow victories, showing determination to secure the top seed in the Eastern Conference. They approach the regular season with maximum effort and importance.

While the Bucks have talent, led by Antetokounmpo, the Pistons are described as a well-oiled machine that the author is reluctant to bet against. The author, Doug Kezirian, shares his ATS record of 80-67-2 in the Post sports section and recommends betting on Detroit laying three points in the upcoming game.